Nevada vs Utah State 11/26/2011

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Nevada winning 44% of simulations, and Utah State 56% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Nevada commits fewer turnovers in 46% of simulations and they go on to win 54% when they take care of the ball. Utah State wins 73% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Lampford Mark is averaging 80 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (34% chance) then he helps his team win 55%. Robert Turbin is averaging 146 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (45% chance) then he helps his team win 68%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UTST +1

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